Not a new idea..?

These Vintage Ideas of the Future Were Actually Pretty Impressive

Cynics like to mock a “new idea” as an “old idea” which must have been a “bad idea” if the idea did not come to fruition when originally proposed.  But such cynicism ignores the fact that the “old idea” may not have been been technically possible when first suggested.   Heavier-than-air flight would be the best example, but there must be countless more.  So it is irrelevant whether an idea like Oasis Cities was first postulated by the Ancient Greeks, the Aztecs, or even HG Wells (who possibly conceptualised the idea of “3D cities”, although he portrayed them as dystopian..!)

Oasis Cities will embody the best aspects of many ideas – some old, some new, some cherished, and many were even true..!

But all these “old ideas” have critical drawbacks

ARCOLOGIES – A term coined by Paolo Soleri, “the most famous architect who never built anything” according to his critics.   The intricately hand-drawn gargantuan structures in his magnum opus – “Arcology: the City in the Image of Man” (MIT, 1969) would have taken decades to build and financially, if not technologically, impractical.  However there is no rule which says that an Arcology – in order to be an Arcology – must house hundreds of thousands, or even millions, beneath a single enormous roof.   An Oasis-City, which could begin life as a single “stand-alone” habitat, could later be expanded with the addition of extra modules.   An Oasis-City of 800,000 might therefore consist of 100 individual modules – each one a community in its own right.   This would be a huge advance on sprawling OB-Cities composed of tens or hundreds of thousands of buildings of many different sizes and purposes and build quality.        

GARDEN CITIES – According to Wikipedia, Howard’s idealised Garden City would house just “32,000 people on a 9,000 acre (3600 hectare or 36km2) site”.   By urban standards this is an extremely LOW pop’n density of 900/km2, an even lower density than most villages.  To put that into perspective, if Greater London (1580 km2) was entirely composed of GC’s its population would be just 1,4m (as opposed to the 2021 estimate of 8,8m).  This would mean that London would need to be more than 6x larger – and sprawl to almost 10,000 km2, or 4 average-sized counties – to contain its present population. 

Some politicians and planners have recently been calling for a revival of the Garden-City idea.  Given the enormous cost of land today, these would no doubt be much more densely-populated than the original, but since the very term implies a lot of green space they would be very car-dependent.  Oasis-Cities would also have a lot of green space, but with no cars.  

For an additional perspective see my article on POUNDBURY

CHARTER CITIES – with his concept of new city-states (a la Hong Kong) on land leased from 3rd World countries, e.g., in Honduras, World Bank economist Paul Romer appears to advocate “open borders” which, imo, would sow the seeds of their downfall..!

KIBBUTZIM –  although not quite as “communal” as they once were, the kibbutz lifestyle is not for most people.  Kibbutz populations tend to be hundreds rather than thousands, thus limiting a young persons chances of finding a suitable partner.  Salaries are also low, so they constantly lose young residents to the pull and attractions of the big city.

INTENTIONAL COMMUNITIES – most have tiny populations and have tended to attract “hippy” types or religious groups.

ORANIA (S. Africa) – misleadingly and maliciously claimed to be for “whites only” – is a “privately-owned” town founded in 1991.  For its first 20 years or so, its population was less than 1000 but is now increasing by 10% a year – in 2023 its population was 2800.  It is true that only white Afrikaners live there, but why would a black African or, for that matter, an English-speaking South African want to live there..?

Read my opinion-piece HERE.  

MEDIEVAL CITIES – had some aspects of “Arcologies” as they were very compact and citizens could work very close to home, either within the city or its adjoining fields.  Being surrounded by walls and often river bends, they offered protection from invaders and brigands, but were over-crowded and sanitation was almost unheard of.

CRUISE SHIPS – offer a seductively carefree lifestyle for holidays, but are very wasteful and totally dependent on outside resources and supplies – water, food and energy in particular.  But if we can build these enormous ships accommodating as many as 8000 passengers (plus 2000 crew) – why cannot we do the same on land, which would have no need for massively powerful engines, navigational equipment, desalination plants, large crews and their needs, lifeboats and “unsinkability”, etc, etc..?   

RESORT HOTELS – 

9 Best Hotels in Maui, Hawaii on the Beach (2021): Luxury & Family Resorts